‘These Are Deaths That Could Have Been Prevented,’ Says Researcher Studying Evictions

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Protesters call for support for tenants and homeowners at risk of eviction during a demonstration on Oct. 11 in Boston. A federal moratorium on evictions is set to expire at the end of December.

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Steven Senne/AP

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Is what is happening here that if someone gets evicted, they might move in with family or friends and then the number of people that they’re in contact with and exposed to is growing?

Yep, it’s as intuitive as that, it’s difficult to socially distance and shelter in place if you don’t have a shelter.

Did you find data where the situations varied in interesting ways from state to state?

So the biggest driver of cases and deaths are the [size of the] state’s population obviously, and also when they lifted the moratorium. So lifting the moratorium earlier was associated with more cases and deaths. So Texas really stands out as a state with a lot of cases and deaths associated with lifting their moratorium. I believe it’s in the neighborhood of 150,000 cases and 4,500 deaths that could have been prevented by maintaining their moratorium.

Did your research look at whether different groups of people might be affected differently if this ban expires?

We weren’t able to look directly at that, but we know that Black and Latinx families are more likely to be evicted. We also know that these are the same communities that are bearing the brunt of COVID. So moratoriums can help these families remain housed and stay safe during the pandemic. And they might also keep COVID disparities from growing larger.

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Your study has not been peer reviewed yet. You’re getting it out early because it’s urgent. This is time-sensitive information. What are you hoping the impact will be?

The CDC moratorium is set to expire at the end of the year. That’s four weeks away and it’s in the setting of over a million new COVID cases a week. So state and federal policymakers need to extend these protections to make sure that families and their communities can stay safe. Individuals have a bit of a role in this, too. Tenants can understand their protections under the CDC moratorium, help their neighbors understand theirs, and then reach out for legal aid.

You’re looking at the numbers, but every one of these numbers is a real person. How did you think about that as you worked on this and wrote up your research?

I did my Ph.D. in Baltimore and every day was in contact with people that were living in deep poverty and struggling to make rent. So I think about those faces and those people, and it really is a human tragedy and not just numbers.

Lauren Hodges and Justine Kenin produced and edited the audio interview.

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